With plenty of sunshine today, we warm dramatically from the frosty start in the 30s, to 60 to 65° this afternoon. Wind is from the west 10 to 15 mph. We are monitoring and developing coastal storm over the mid-Atlantic states later today, as it advances northward clouds will overtake the region by sunrise Tuesday. It is another chilly night with a low temperature in the 40s south, and 30s north.
Low pressure tracks to Long Island tomorrow with a swath of rainfall, or bands of rain, moving in from southwest to northeast throughout the day.
Rainfall maybe locally heavy, with some areas receiving more than 1 inch by late in the day and overnight.
Wind is not a widespread factor, but could gust past 40 mph from the east over Cape Cod and the islands around the time of high tide late in the morning and early afternoon. Because the moon is as close to the earth as it gets and just passed full, we have the highest astronomical tide of the year tomorrow. The result will be coastal erosion especially from Connecticut to Cape Cod, and minor to moderate coastal flooding as possible too. The storm center will begin to weaken is it pushes into northern New England tomorrow night, rain will shut off and southern and western New England, but will keep on raining in the state of Maine Wednesday.
The tide is not quite as strong at midnight tomorrow night, but is a little higher again midday Wednesday. Our wind should shift and come in from the west on Wednesday, resulting in less significant coastal flooding and erosion.
High temperatures Wednesday will be in the 50s with a good amount of sunshine for most of the region.
The rain in eastern Maine will shut off by Wednesday evening.
Thursday and Friday look mild and dry, with sunshine and high temperature again in the 50s, overnight low temperature near freezing.
The weather map becomes very complex over the weekend.
There will be a powerful storm in the Midwest with severe weather on its south side, and heavy snow on it's north side.
At the same time a powerful ocean storm will actually be backing in from the southeast toward New England.
On Sunday and Monday those two storms may converge and merge over New England.
It looks like we should be dry on Saturday, but rain it's possible by Sunday.
By Monday colder air starts to move in from the west, and parts of New England could see rain changing to snow during the day Monday and Monday night.
It will be a very busy weather pattern the week of Thanksgiving, many more details to follow.