- If completed, the sale will be the first American transfer of lethal unmanned aerial systems (UAS) to any Arab ally, and the UAE would become the first Arab country to get the Lockheed Martin fifth-generation stealth jet, the most advanced fighter aircraft on the market.
- The sale includes up to 18 MQ-9 Reapers and related equipment for $2.97 billion, and up to 50 F-35 Joint Strike Fighter jets and accompanying equipment for an estimated $10.4 billion.
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — The United Arab Emirates is the closest it's ever been to getting certain lethal American weapons it's wanted for several years now: armed drones and F-35 joint strike fighter jets.
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on Tuesday announced via Twitter: "Today, the United States notified Congress of proposed UAE purchases of F-35 fighter aircraft, MQ-9B UAS, and munitions worth $23.37 billion to deter and defend against increased threats from Iran following historic Abraham Accords."
An anticipated development ever since the UAE officially established diplomatic ties with Israel for the first time in August, the news is seen as a big deal. The sale, if completed, will be the first American transfer of lethal unmanned aerial systems (UAS) to any Arab ally, and the UAE would become the first Arab country to get the Lockheed Martin fifth-generation stealth jet, the most advanced fighter aircraft on the market.
"This is a very significant sale, as it is not often that a DCSA (Defense Security Cooperation Agency) notification recognizes that a sale 'will alter the regional military balance', highlighting the gravity of these announced proposed sales," Charles Forrester, a principal analyst at IHS Janes, told CNBC via email on Wednesday.
Reaper drones and stealth jets
The sale includes up to 18 MQ-9 Reapers and related equipment for $2.97 billion. Produced by General Atomics, the Reaper is a hunter-killer drone that can carry up to four hellfire missiles as well as laser-guided bombs and joint direct attack munitions.
The UAE military has had Chinese-made armed drones for some time now, so while the purchase of American armed drones will be an incremental upgrade to their arsenal, the quality and capability of the Reapers is superior and will further align them with their U.S. and U.K. allies, weapons experts say.
And the acquisition of up to 50 F-35 Joint Strike Fighter jets by the UAE for an estimated $10.4 billion "will be a significant boost for the country's conventional deterrence capabilities, as well as gaining multi-domain superiority," Forrester said. The deal is seen as a clear indicator of the trust not only between Washington and Abu Dhabi, but that of Israel, as well.
Weapons export policy loosened under Trump
The U.S. sells billions of dollars' worth of weapons, training and other security assistance to the UAE, a top regional security partner, and its other Gulf allies. Until now, however, Washington has not supplied those allies with its armed drone technology due to strict export regulations.
But in the face of record Middle East defense spending and encroaching foreign competition, the Trump administration, eager to support the U.S. weapons industry, relaxed export rules in June allowing it to sell more technologies to more allies.
Those efforts have come to fruition — and major sales that have the power to reshape regional dynamics are being pushed through in the twilight months of Trump's presidential term.
Rushing it through?
To Michael Stephens, senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, this appears an effort to rush last-minute deals through before leaving office.
"It is clear the administration wants to create a fait accompli in the Middle East by taking a series of quick fire policy steps that they believe will be impossible for a Biden administration to overturn," Stephens told CNBC.
Some Democratic lawmakers have questioned the sale, with House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Eliot Engel expressing "concern," saying in a statement on October 30 that "rushing these sales is not in anyone's interest." What's stopped arms sales in the past includes concerns over proliferation, or risks that technology could end up in the wrong hands.
But there is nothing legally questionable about the sale, according to Dave DesRoches, an associate professor and senior military fellow at the National Defense University in Washington, D.C.
"This is going fast, but it is going according to law. The fact that following the rules is seen as 'rushing it' really just shows how broken the system is," DesRoches said, critiquing the bureaucratic approvals process for arms transfers.
It's important to look at what's not in the sale — like electronic warfare airplanes, DesRoches noted. "That probably means there was a tech review and it was decided that we wouldn't offer the UAE aircraft with the capabilities it wanted — that is, we're not giving them everything they asked for as Trump is bum-rushed out the door." Defense contracts and deliveries can take years to finalize, he added.
The sale can go forward after 30 calendar days unless both houses of Congress pass a resolution of disapproval with a veto-proof majority.