There’s no question we’ve entered a weather pattern more typical of October in New England: dramatic swings in temperature, plenty of wind moving the air changes and an increased chance of clouds and showers.
Monday’s gusty wind from the south and southwest will exceed 40 mph in a few spots, proving to be just strong enough for isolated power outages in central and southern New England but for most of us the biggest impact of the wind will be to keep warmth in place: highs in the 70s Monday. Sprinkles off and on Monday will mean a mostly dry day in southern New England, though northern and central New England see rain ahead of an approaching cold front that eventually delivers rain, perhaps a rumble of thunder and patchy fog for all of New England overnight Monday night.
An early morning shower departs Tuesday for a dry day, though clouds will slowly thin so sun should certainly be mixed with clouds, particularly in southern New England.
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From Wednesday onward, our attention turns to a large storm center stalling south of New England, over the coastal waters off the Mid-Atlantic.
The swirling storm south of us is important because the counter-clockwise flow of air around its center ensures an onshore, easterly wind direction for the middle and end of the week here at home, and this guarantees cool and breezy conditions. Of course, the storm will be producing rain and showers, as well, and here in New England we believe the southern half of our six-state region has the highest chance of seeing showers cropping up Wednesday through week’s end…and quite possibly into the weekend, depending upon the exact position and strength of that storm to our south.
By late weekend and certainly early next week, we’ll see some drier weather nudging in for some improvement in our exclusive First Alert 10-day forecast.