New England Patriots

Expert Predictions for Patriots vs. Bills Playoff Game

Which team will advance to the AFC Divisional Round? A consensus is forming

Expert predictions for Patriots vs. Bills playoff game originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston



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The New England Patriots have returned to the AFC playoffs, and their first opponent is one they know very well.

The Buffalo Bills will host the Patriots at Highmark Stadium on Saturday night in one of three AFC Wild Card Round playoff matchups on this weekend's schedule.

It's the third meeting of the season between these AFC East rivals. Each team won on the road. 

Cassel: How Pats can take advantage of facing Bills for a third time

Buffalo and New England haven't met in the playoffs since the AFL Divisional Playoff in 1963, which the "Boston" Patriots won 26-8.

In today’s Daily Debrief, you won’t believe how little it will cost you to see the Patriots play the Bills in the AFC Wild Card game. Our partners at NBC Sports Boston make their predictions for Saturday’s match-up. Plus, the three players on both sides of the ball you need to watch.

Playing on Wild Card Weekend is not a familiar scenario for the Patriots. They've played in this round just four times since Bill Belichick took over as head coach in 2000, despite making 19 playoffs appearance from 2001 to 2020. New England is 2-2 in the Wild Card Rounder under Belichick, including a loss to the Tennessee Titans in Tom Brady's final game with the franchise in 2019.

The Patriots limped to the playoffs, losing three of their last four games. Rookie quarterback Mac Jones also struggled during that stretch. The Bills closed the regular season with a four-game win streak, including an impressive 33-21 victory over the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.

Patriots Talk Podcast: Can Mac Jones flip his late-season script? Don't bet on it | Listen & Subscribe | Watch on YouTube

Which team will advance to the AFC Divisional Round?

Here's a roundup of expert predictions for this weekend's Patriots vs. Bills playoff game (with the predicted score, when given).

Mike Florio, ProFootballTalk: Patriots 20, Bills 19

Mike Reiss, ESPN: Bills 20, Patriots 17

Jeremy Fowler, ESPN: Bills

Rob Ninkovich, ESPN: Patriots

Gregg Rosenthal, Patriots 20, Bills 19

Sam Farmer, Los Angeles Times: Bills 28, Patriots 20

Albert Breer, Sports Illustrated: Bills

Pete Prisco, CBS Sports: Bills 30, Patriots 17

Jeremy Cluff, Bills 28, Patriots 24

Bill Bender, Sporting News: Bills 26, Patriots 20

Emmanuel Morgan, New York Times: Bills -4 (ATS pick)

FiveThirtyEight model: Bills 70 percent, Patriots 30 percent

The Patriots allowed 428 total yards and 9/16 success on third and fourth down against the Bills in a tough 33-21 loss at home. Buffalo now owns first place in the AFC East with two games remaining in the regular season.
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