Much of central and northern New England is under a winter weather advisory and a flood watch for Monday evening into Tuesday.
A storm center now generating blizzard conditions in the central Plains states will track to our north overnight and Tuesday, putting New England on the warmer side of the system.
Initially, the air is cold enough for a period of freezing rain and snow in much of central and northern New England. This wintry mix will transition to rain for most of us during the day Tuesday.
Before the transition, we have a light glaze causing icy roads from north-central Massachusetts into southern Vermont and southern New Hampshire, and further north we have snow. Along and south of the Massachusetts Turnpike it's chilly rain.
Temperatures overnight are holding, or rising a bit from the 20s and 30s to near 40 degrees in southern New England by sunrise, with areas of dense fog.
Wind will increase from the south, gusting 20 to 30 miles an hour by daybreak in the valleys of western New England and in the hills and near the shore in eastern New England.
A powerful cold front will push through during the day Tuesday, changing any wintry mix to rain, with a chance of thunderstorms. The high temperature will be in the lower 50s. Wind from the south may gust past 40 mph.
In far northern Maine, snow will also change to rain, with snowfall totals of a few inches up to near 6 inches in far northern Maine. Rainfall amounts will generally be in the order of 1/2 to 3/4 of an inch.
The ice jam flooding that started last week may become renewed this week thanks to the melting snow and warmer weather along with the Tuesday rain.
Rain will change to snow before ending at the Canadian border, otherwise clearing and colder late Tuesday night. Low temperature in the 20s north and 30s south.
Colder windy weather returns Wednesday, with the high temperature in the 30s south and 20s north and some snow flurries continuing at the Canadian border.
Wind from the northwest gusting past 30 mph adds an extra wind chill factor.
High pressure from Canada should crest over New England on Thursday, with sunshine and diminishing wind.
Overnight low temperature Wednesday will be near 0 degrees north to the teens south, with high temperatures Thursday in the teens north and 20s south.
Friday looks fair and cold, with a high temperature near freezing, and much less wind.
The next front arrives in New England on Saturday, with mostly cloudy weather and a chance of rain or snow showers. Warmer air is moving back in, so any snowfall accumulation is mostly in the higher terrain of Northern New England.
By Saturday afternoon and Sunday, temperatures should rebound to the 30s north and 40s south. At this point it does not look like a big storm, but we'll keep you posted.