Varying amounts of rain this weekend will precede the potential for Jose to hit New England next week.
Through Friday evening, we'll see those tropical-like downpours — fast-moving, heavy rain, then moves out or fizzles within 10 to 15 minutes. These are very hit-or-miss, so we will be dodging in and out of these for the Friday evening commute. Watch out for ponding and expect a slower commute home.
A few lingering downpours extend through the overnight hours, with a potential for some rumbles of thunder, but these will not be as widespread as the earlier evening hours. What will be widespread is the fog, where most locations will wake up to reduced visibility. Overnight lows will slip into the 60s south, 50s in far northern New England.
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We start off with more fog and mostly cloudy skies Saturday morning, but we will see sunny breaks by the afternoon.
The sunshine, along with the humidity and a few spotty downpours, similar to Friday afternoon, will pop up in southwestern New England, but Saturday will not be a washout by any means, so do not cancel any of those outdoor plans. If anything, these will pop-up and be quick-movers, and within the afternoon hours.
Sunday is similar, but with more sun to start, a few showers in the afternoon again cannot be ruled out, otherwise some locations will remain dry the whole weekend with highs into the upper 70s to lower 80s.
As we look ahead to the next work week, we turn our attention to Hurricane Jose as the track still keeps southern New England in the cone of uncertainty by Tuesday and Wednesday. We could start to see dangerous rip currents, to increased wave heights and splashover at the southern coast of New England as early as Monday.
By Tuesday and Wednesday, wave heights along the coastline could reach between 15 to 25 feet. The extent of the wind and the rain that we will see in New England will be determined by the defined track. By the time Jose slides close to southern New England, it will be a tropical storm as the sea surface temperatures are not warm enough to sustain its hurricane status. Something to keep in mind, Days 4 and 5 of the NHC cone of uncertainty averages an error of 175 miles and over 200 miles, respectively. We experienced this with the track of Irma along the Florida Peninsula — little iterations in the track to the west or the east meant different outcomes for those in the path.
We will continue to give you the very latest updates with your Early Warning Weather Team as we keep our eye on Jose through the weekend and into the start of the next work week.