New England Patriots
Live Blog EndedJan 5, 2025

Patriots-Bills recap: Milton dazzles; Pats lose No. 1 pick in costly win

Joe Milton put on an unexpected show in his NFL debut.

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Phil Perry shares what he’s hearing about Patriots coaching staff and their job security heading into Week 18 against the Bills.

What to Know

  • The Patriots finish the season with a 4-13 record and will pick fourth in the 2025 NFL Draft.
  • Joe Milton replaced Drake Maye early and shined in his NFL debut (22 of 29 for 241 yards, pass TD, rush TD).
  • The Bills primarily played their backups, as starter Josh Allen only played one snap.
  • The Patriots fired Jerod Mayo just over an hour after the loss.

The New England Patriots’ first win since Nov. 10 comes at a cost.

The Patriots defeated the Buffalo Bills 23-16 in their Week 18 season finale at Gillette Stadium on Sunday to finish the 2024 campaign with a 4-13 record.

While Joe Milton delivered a dazzling performance in his NFL debut, the victory costs New England the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, as the Patriots now will select fourth in the first round instead.

Follow our live blog below for highlights, postgame analysis, locker room reaction and more from Patriots-Bills:

JAN 57:25 PM EST

Jerod Mayo firing shows urgency, but Krafts' work has just begun

Jerod Mayo firing shows urgency, but Krafts' work has just begun

Ted Johnson gives Robert Kraft credit for firing Jerod Mayo after just one season

Well, that was decisive.

Less than an hour after the Patriots' final game of the season ended, the team fired first-year head coach Jerod Mayo.

The decision caps a stunning slide over New England's final four games, as owner Robert Kraft and team president Jonathan Kraft pirouetted from their "come hell-or-high-water" support of Mayo.

In early December, when speculation about Mayo’s job security began, a high-ranking team source was asked if the team could conceivably move on.

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JAN 55:25 PM EST

Patriots fire Mayo as Kraft makes swift decision about team's future

Patriots fire Mayo as Kraft makes swift decision about team's future

Ted Johnson gives Robert Kraft credit for firing Jerod Mayo after just one season

Jerod Mayo won his first game and his last game coaching the New England Patriots. The only problem? He lost 13 of the 15 games in between.

The Patriots fired Mayo as their head coach Sunday, with team owner Robert Kraft making a statement just over an hour after New England's Week 18 win over the Buffalo Bills.

The Patriots went 4-13 under Mayo and had a minus-128 point differential, fifth-worst in the NFL. While Mayo appeared to be on steady ground for most of the season -- with the Krafts understanding that a rebuild in New England would take time due to a roster devoid of elite talent -- our Patriots Insider Phil Perry reported Sunday that there was an "air of uncertainty" on the coaching staff in the wake of the team's 40-7 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 17.

Now, Mayo is out as head coach in New England despite Kraft boasting before the season that he hand-picked the former Patriots linebacker as the successor to Bill Belichick as early as 2019.

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JAN 54:15 PM EST

2025 NFL Draft order: Patriots own No. 4 pick after Week 18 win

2025 NFL Draft order: Patriots own No. 4 pick after Week 18 win

Albert Breer talks about how much of a haul the Patriots could get for the first overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, and he also explains how much value they would lose if they fell to the 4th overall spot with a win against the Bills.

Just when New England Patriots fans thought their team's 2024 NFL season couldn't get any worse, the franchise blew a golden opportunity to own the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft by beating the Buffalo Bills 23-16 in Sunday afternoon's Week 18 game at Gillette Stadium.

The Patriots came into the regular season finale with a 3-13 record and needing a loss to clinch the No. 1 pick. But as a result of their victory over the Bills, combined with losses by the Cleveland Browns, Tennessee Titans and New York Giants, the Patriots have slid all the way down to the No. 4 overall pick in the upcoming draft. The Tennessee Titans will have the No. 1 pick.

The Patriots likely will be one of several teams to finish with a 4-13 record, but they own the tiebreaker for the better pick because of their worse strength of schedule rating.

New England will select in the top four in back-to-back years for the first time since 1993 (Drew Bledsoe, No. 1) and 1994 (Willie McGinest, No. 4).

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JAN 54:10 PM EST

FINAL: Patriots win 23-16

The Patriots have cost themselves the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft.

New England needed a loss in Sunday afternoon's Week 18 regular season finale to secure the top pick, but it defeated the Buffalo Bills 23-16 at Gillette Stadium.

The Patriots' win, combined with losses by the Titans, Browns and Giants in Week 18, resulted in New England sliding down to the No. 4 overall pick in the upcoming draft.

The main takeaway from this game, aside from the draft implications, was the performance of Patriots rookie quarterback Joe Milton III. He completed 22-of-29 passes for 241 yards with one touchdown. He also ran for a touchdown. It was a fantastic performance by Milton, who made his NFL debut today.

JAN 54:04 PM EST

Score alert: Patriots now lead by seven after third field goal

Score: 23-16 Patriots, 1:55 left in fourth quarter

Joey Slye just hit a 50-yard field goal to put the Patriots up seven. The No. 1 pick is slipping further away from New England.

JAN 53:43 PM EST

Bills stopped on fourth down

Score: 20-16 Patiots, 5:16 left in fourth quarter

The Patriots are getting the football back leading by four with 5:16 remaining after getting a fourth-down stop on defense. The Bills were unable to convert on fourth-and-5 from the Patriots' 47-yard line.

It's looking more and more likely that the Patriots will win this game. If that happens, they will lose out on the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft and slide down to the No. 4 pick.

JAN 53:35 PM EST

Score alert: Patriots extend lead with field goal

Score: 20-16 Patriots, 8:53 left in fourth quarter

The Patriots now lead by four after a 42-yard field goal by Joey Slye. He's now 2-for-2 on field goal attempts today.

The Bills need to score a touchdown to win this game. If they don't, the Patriots will emerge victorious and lose out on the No. 1 pick. If the current scores around the league hold, the Patriots would fall from No. 1 to No. 4 in the first round draft order.

JAN 53:30 PM EST

Kayshon Boutte has first career 100-yard game

Score: 17-16 Patriots, 10:03 left in fourth quarter

The Patriots have a 100-yard wide receiver for the first time all season. Kayshon Boutte just hauled in a 21-yard pass from Joe Milton III, and he now has seven receptions for 117 yards. It's his first 100-yard game as a pro. Boutte caught a 48-yard touchdown pass earlier in the game.

The last Patriots wideout to tally 100-plus receiving yards in a game was Kendrick Bourne in Week 16 of the 2022 season.

JAN 53:13 PM EST

Score alert: Patriots regain lead with field goal

Score: 17-16 Patriots, 1:00 left in third quarter

The Patriots have moved back in front after a 41-yard field goal by kicker Joey Slye. They went 54 yards on 12 plays and took 6:56 off the clock.

New England has the lead because Buffalo kicker Tyler Bass missed the extra point attempt on the Bills' last touchdown. That one point could loom large. Remember, the Patriots will get the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft if they lose this game.

JAN 53:05 PM EST

Injury update: Marte Mapu ruled out

The Patriots have announced that safety Marte Mapu has been downgraded to out with a neck injury.

JAN 52:59 PM EST

Score alert: Bills go ahead with James Cook's 16th rushing TD of season

Score: 16-14 Bills, 7:56 left in third quarter

Bills running back James Cook hasn't played much in this game, but he just scored his 16th rushing touchdown of the season, which leads the NFL and ties O.J. Simpson for the most in Bills history. Simpson set that record in 1975.

Bills kicker Tyler Bass missed the extra point.

The Bills taking the lead is huge for the Patriots. If the Patriots lose, they will clinch the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. This is Buffalo's first lead of the game.

JAN 52:53 PM EST

Turnover alert: Bills get the ball back after recovering a fumble

Score: 14-10 Patriots, 10:17 left in third quarter

The Patriots just turned the ball over for the first time today, and it will give the Bills great field position at New England's 16-yard line. Rookie quarterback Joe Milton III was credited with the fumble. It looked like he was trying to hand the ball off to Antonio Gibson.

JAN 52:24 PM EST

Halftime: Patriots lead 14-10

The Patriots are on track to lose the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. They lead the Bills at halftime after an excellent performance through two quarters by Joe Milton III. The rookie quarterback has completed 12-of-13 pass attempts for 139 yards and a touchdown. He also has a rushing touchdown.

If the Patriots win, they will not get the No. 1 pick in the draft. The furthest they could fall is the No. 4 pick. A loss to the Bills would clinch the top pick for the Patriots.

The Bills have nothing at stake, and they've played mostly backups in this game so far. Backup quarterback Mitchell Trubisky has completed 12-of-15 passes for 68 yards and a touchdown.

Team Stats

  • Total yards: 166 for Bills, 147 for Patriots
  • First downs: 11 for Bills, nine for Patriots
  • Third downs: 3-for-6 for Patriots, 2-for-6 for Bills
  • Penalties: Four for 29 yards (Patriots), three for 20 yards (Bills)
  • Time of possession: 15:20 for Bills, 14:40 for Patriots
JAN 52:00 PM EST

Score alert: Bills kick FG to trim Patriots' lead

Score: 14-10 Patriots, 4:39 left in second quarter

The Bills answered the Patriots' second touchdown with a field goal drive. Bills kicker Tyler Bass made a 49-yard field goal.

The Patriots offense will get the ball back with 4:39 on the clock and three timeouts. The Bills will get the ball to start the second half.

JAN 51:51 PM EST

Score alert: Joe Milton III throws 48-yard TD pass to Kayshon Boutte

Score: 14-7 Patriots, 9:10 left in second quarter

Patriots rookie quarterback Joe Milton III has played almost perfect so far. He has completed all nine of his pass attempts for 122 yards and a touchdown. His last completion was a 48-yard scoring strike to wideout Kayshon Boutte. The second-year wide receiver was wide open down the field and Milton found him after scrambling away from pressure.

Milton now has two touchdowns (one passing, one rushing).

JAN 51:47 PM EST

Breer: How falling to No. 4 pick in 2025 draft could hurt Patriots

Breer: How falling to No. 4 pick in 2025 draft could hurt Patriots

Albert Breer talks about how much of a haul the Patriots could get for the first overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, and he also explains how much value they would lose if they fell to the 4th overall spot with a win against the Bills.

As much as the New England Patriots may want to end their tumultuous 2024 season on a high note, it would be in their best interest to lose Sunday's season finale vs. the Buffalo Bills.

With a loss, they would officially secure the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. A win could drop them to as low as No. 4 overall. (Update: The Patriots officially have the No. 4 pick after beating the Bills on Sunday.)

That fall from No. 1 to No. 4 could prove costly, especially if New England plans to trade its premium pick for a haul of assets. Before Sunday's game, Albert Breer of Sports Illustrated explained how much value the Patriots would lose in that scenario.

"If you look at the difference between the first pick and the fourth or fifth pick on the old Jimmy Johnson value chart, that's the 10th overall pick in a vacuum," Breer said on NBC Sports Boston's Patriots Pregame Live. "That's what's on the line today. If you lose the first overall pick and you fall down to four or five, you're losing the equivalent of a high first-round pick. So I think there is some value to it, of course, and I think you should be able to get multiple first-round picks for (the No. 1 pick), of course."

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JAN 51:39 PM EST

Score alert: Bills tie it with fourth-down TD pass

Score: 7-7, 12:09 left in second quarter

The Bills had first-and-goal at the 1-yard line, and after three unsuccessful attempts to get into the end zone, they finally got in on fourth down when backup quarterback Mitch Trubisky found running back Ray Davis for a touchdown pass.

Fans of both teams were likely happy about that touchdown:

JAN 51:32 PM EST

Perry: Patriots coaches have ‘air of uncertainty' about job security

Perry: Patriots coaches have ‘air of uncertainty' about job security

Phil Perry shares what he’s hearing about Patriots coaching staff and their job security heading into Week 18 against the Bills.

Sunday's game at Gillette Stadium could be the last time several members of the Patriots coaching staff take the field for New England. And it appears they're aware of that.

For much of the 2024 season, the expectation was that Jerod Mayo would remain the team's head coach into 2025, with Robert Kraft and Patriots ownership understanding that their rebuild would take time despite New England's on-field struggles.

But as the Patriots enter their season finale against the Buffalo Bills with a 3-13 record following a humiliating 40-7 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 17, Patriots Insider Phil Perry revealed that some coaches on the staff are a bit more on edge about the possibility of sweeping changes.

"The nervousness inside the building is very real," Perry said Sunday on Patriots Pregame Live, as seen in the video player above. "I've heard it from multiple different sources over the course of this last week since that Chargers game. To me, the 40-7 loss was embarrassing on multiple levels and I think could in a very real way change the equation for ownership as they look at the long-term future of their franchise."

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JAN 51:31 PM EST

Joe Milton III receiving medical attention

Score: 7-0 Patriots, 1:11 left in first quarter

Looks like Joe Milton has been getting some work done on his ear since coming to the sideline. Wonder if that QB sneak ahead of his touchdown was the source of some discomfort.

JAN 51:25 PM EST

Score alert: Joe Milton III scores first TD of NFL career

Score: 7-0 Patriots, 4:25 left in first quarter

Joe Milton III's first drive as an NFL quarterback was a good one. The rookie completed all six of his pass attempts for 51 yards, and then he finished the drive with a one-yard touchdown run. New England went 2-for-3 on third down and 1-for-1 on fourth down during the possession.

Milton did a backflip to celebrate his first career TD.

JAN 51:20 PM EST

Joe Milton III completes first pass

Score: 0-0, 9:51 left in first quarter

Joe Milton III's first completed pass in the NFL was a 12-yard strike to wide receiver DeMario Douglas.

JAN 51:17 PM EST

Backups getting lots of snaps

Score: 0-0, 10:03 left in first quarter

A bunch of starters have exited the game for the Patriots. If they lose today, they get the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft.

JAN 51:13 PM EST

Joe Milton III to make NFL debut

Score: 0-0, 11:43 left in first quarter

Joe Milton is on the field to start this next drive. Quick hook for Drake Maye. Smart thing to do.

JAN 51:11 PM EST

Patiots go three-and-out on first possession

The Patriots punted on fourth-and-22 after a false start penalty and a third-down sack sent the offense backwards.

Bills linebacker Von Miller earned a $1.5 million incentive in his contract by tallying the sack on third down.

JAN 51:06 PM EST

Lackluster attendance for season finale

It would appear many Patriots fans are sending a message to the franchise by not showing up for today's Week 18 finale versus the Bills at Gillette Stadium.

JAN 512:47 PM EST

Latest info on future of Patriots coaching staff

Latest info on future of Patriots coaching staff

Phil Perry shares what he’s hearing about Patriots coaching staff and their job security heading into Week 18 against the Bills.

Phil Perry joined NBC Sports Boston's Patriots Pregame Live with the latest update on the team's coaching staff and what the future might hold entering a pivotal offseason.

JAN 512:35 PM EST

Jerod Mayo says Joe Milton will play vs. Bills

On 98.5 The Sports Hub, Jerod Mayo indicates he’s expecting Joe Milton to play today. Players hinted during the week that this was the expectation. Milton got first-team snaps for the first time all season this week.

JAN 512:05 PM EST

Inactives

Patriots inactives:

  • RB JaMycal Hasty
  • TE Hunter Henry
  • TE Mitchell Wilcox
  • G Lester Cotton
  • G Sidy Sow
  • CB Christian Gonzalez

Bills inactives:

  • WR Amari Cooper
  • OL Dion Dawkins
  • DT Ed Oliver
  • DT DaQuan Jones
  • DE Greg Rousseau
  • LB Terrel Bernard
  • CB Taron Johnson
  • CB Christian Benford
JAN 511:32 AM EST

No. 1 draft pick is at stake

The Patriots enter Week 18 with the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, but it's not yet totally secure.

A loss to the Bills on Sunday at Gillette Stadium would lock in the No. 1 pick for the Patriots. If the Patriots beat the Bills, they could fall to the No. 2, No. 3 or No. 4 pick, depending on the results of the Giants and Titans games. New England cannot fall lower than No. 4. The Patriots would get the No. 4 pick if they beat the Bills and the Titans and Giants both win.

JAN 511:21 AM EST

Patriots-Bills preview: What to watch for with No. 1 draft pick at stake

Patriots-Bills preview: What to watch for with No. 1 draft pick at stake

Jeremy Springer isn’t blaming any Patriots fan for booing during their brutal loss to the Chargers in Week 17.

FOXBORO -- We're handling the matchup preview, ahead of the Patriots and Bills tilt, a bit differently this week given the circumstances. Buffalo has the No. 2 seed locked up and won't be going for the win. The Patriots say they're trying to win but could lock up the No. 1 overall pick in the draft with a loss.

Call us crazy, but breaking down "Josh Allen vs. DeMarcus Covington" doesn't feel like it's worth your while. Instead, let's get into some of the juicier subplots of what could be one of the weirdest games in recent memory at Gillette Stadium.

Drake Maye's competitiveness vs. Organizational decision-making

There is little reason to have Drake Maye play the entirety of the contest on Sunday. Simply, the risk far outweighs the reward.

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