A weakening atmospheric disturbance aloft is riding over the top of high barometric pressure at ground level – a fair weather cell – and this means the disturbance will continue to lose steam Thursday.
The disturbance will be coating half an inch of snow in Western New England and only deliver varying clouds with a possible flurry for the rest of us.
Breaks of the sun become fewer and farther through the afternoon but may re-emerge at times on Thursday evening and night. This will allow for at least some limited views of the Geminid meteor shower.
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Variable clouds on Friday will accompany a warming atmosphere that will afford high temperatures above the melting point for nearly all of the six-state region, ahead of an expected developing rain for Southern New England Friday night into Saturday.
The trend to keep Northern New England ski areas out of the rain has not only continued but strengthened. No rain is expected in the North Country!
The Southern half of New England – and particularly areas south of the Massachusetts Turnpike – stand a good chance of picking up some rain late Friday night into Saturday morning before dry air battles back for a break in the action all the way from Saturday afternoon until Sunday afternoon.
Sunday afternoon is when showers will start creeping north across Southern New England again.
By late Sunday into early Monday, enough cold air is likely to be in place for both rain and snow showers, and some light accumulation is possible particularly inland.
Expect a shot of chilly, dry air to return for the middle of next week before our next storm slated for next Friday in the exclusive Early Warning Weather 10-day forecast.